Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.337288 3.899727 4.496930 5.175155 5.920910 6.712933 7.614652
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.447701 3.204945 4.069085 5.114845 6.332849 7.694022 9.317322
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.822008 2.669901 3.706447 5.034790 6.660088 8.553820 10.896311
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.501569 2.432948 3.641318 5.264368 7.328706 9.811291 12.965851
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.189304 2.140999 3.452549 5.296241 7.727538 10.736386 14.651547
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.026575 2.023444 3.468265 5.574687 8.431368 12.043968 16.828122
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.880906 1.900949 3.453521 5.795565 9.053841 13.254551 18.903982
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.733183 1.744310 3.364133 5.893103 9.500654 14.238847 20.705018
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.581565 1.547396 3.185077 5.837531 9.720995 14.919021 22.117678
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.490343 1.440570 3.132114 5.956095 10.178226 15.914764 23.950775
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.412270 1.341110 3.076677 6.059988 10.609277 16.876763 25.749398
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.315126 1.174255 2.882602 5.927108 10.681768 17.341203 26.885913
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.231771 1.013650 2.681041 5.770393 10.717216 17.764518 27.992777
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.176272 0.902387 2.555446 5.726703 10.916549 18.418490 29.422983
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.129571 0.794363 2.418968 5.650454 11.057033 18.986646 30.741207
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.113727 0.778105 2.469917 5.904125 11.720206 20.318083 33.135583
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.087626 0.712239 2.404029 5.941165 12.036698 21.148994 34.841818
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.079117 0.710851 2.481675 6.243703 12.787160 22.626945 37.474719
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.068637 0.695777 2.525222 6.483094 13.439319 23.968946 39.931458
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.054463 0.654218 2.499857 6.588778 13.872519 24.991126 41.946068
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.037918 0.584256 2.393210 6.528902 14.025708 25.594105 43.368065
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.029764 0.554354 2.383675 6.657039 14.495020 26.677476 45.488307
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.022811 0.523929 2.367661 6.769244 14.937276 27.723338 47.562802